A recent InfluenceMap report draws striking conclusions about the potential situation of each manufacturer for 2030, taking into account the transition to electric cars in which the industry finds itself. If previously they highlighted the largest Japanese manufacturers as the worst positioned in the face of change, at the opposite end of the situation there are two other manufacturers, and only one of them is a traditional cut manufacturer; Mercedes Benz.
And it is that, the renowned German manufacturer is the only one among all the traditional manufacturers that by 2029 will have a fleet that in more than 50% will be of ‘0 emissions’ complying with the common goal of reducing the planet’s average temperature by 1.5% by 2029. A goal set in the Paris Agreement.
To comply with the planned reduction, it is necessary that globally 57.5% of car registrations and deliveries correspond to those of ‘zero emission’ vehicles, that is, electric. Far from meeting the stated target, the combined global production of battery electric cars from all manufacturers is projected to only reach 32% in 2029.
According to the InfluenceMap report, which has been compiled primarily with data collected by IHS Markit, Tesla will be the only manufacturer whose percentage of sales of zero emission cars will be 100%, because aside from other smaller manufacturers, it is the only automobile company that is expected to produce only electric cars by 2029. Mercedes-Benz, for its part, will achieve 56%, while it will be followed by BMW (with 45%), Volkswagen (43%), Stellantis (40%), Renault (31%) and Hyundai (27%).
However, it should be noted that analyzing only the European market, the situation changes. In fact, Toyota, which has the worst forecast, would go from averaging 14% globally to 51% worldwide, with the US division of Toyota unbalancing the balance with just a 4% share of electrics.
In this sense, the study reveals that it is the government pressure which through green political measures forces each manufacturer in certain markets to increase its zero-emission fleet, as is the case in the European Union. For example, the forecast is that Ford has a 36% share of electric vehicles and General Motors 28%, but if the Ford’s European division, the electric share will skyrocket to 65% in 2029.