Global registrations of electrified vehicles (pure electric and plug-in hybrids) will exceed those of diesel and gasoline models in the first half of 2023according to a study carried out by prospective expert Lars Thomsen, a member of the management committee of the charging solutions company Juice Technology.
Similarly, the report estimates that by 2025 electric vehicles will reach the tipping point in virtually all vehicle segments and classessince they will be more attractive and cheaper than the combustion ones.
As for the regions, China will become a “powerful player” in Europe and the United Statessince it forecasts that within three years there will be at least six brands from the Asian country operating in both markets and it will continue to be the world’s largest market for electric vehicles until 2026.
The United States will also reach an electric vehicle share of around 40% in 2025. The US market is awaiting details of President Biden’s new plan to promote electrified vehicles and charging infrastructure, which will provide a strong boost to the electric vehicle market.
By 2024, virtually all service stations on European roads will have fast-charging connections, which is a huge investment for operators. A cost that could be transferred to consumers in the price of energy, according to the study.
Thus, charging at home or at work with alternating current will be an increasingly cheaper alternative for usersas variable load rates will become more common by 2025.
Finally, and with the appearance of autonomous and semi-autonomous vehicles, Thomsen expects the arrival of fully automated charging points from 2025. The pioneers will be autonomous fleets, but also those of rental cars and customers with vehicles that have FSD (Full Self Driving) technologies.
European Union
In December 2019, the EU announced its intention to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from road transport by 90% by 2050 compared to 1990. To achieve this goal, which is part of the European “Green Deal”, there is to build an efficient charging infrastructure for electric vehicles.
For example, by 2030 sufficient loading capacity for cars and trucks must be built every 60 km in each direction along the Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T). The target of one million charging points by 2025 seems, however, quite ambitious, but no less necessary in view of the rapid development of electric mobility.
Spain
According to the latest Electromobility Barometer, developed quarterly by ANFAC (Spanish Association of Car and Truck Manufacturers), the share of electric vehicles continues to gain ground in Spain, but it still does so with very modest figures compared to other European countries.
Thus, the market share of electrified vehicles has grown by 14.3 points in 2021 compared to 2020, a figure that is far from the European average (+39.7 points).
As for recharging, today, Spain is still one of the countries in Europe with the least charging infrastructure for electric cars. In fact, according to the report “Making the transition to zero-emission mobility”, prepared by the Association of European Automobile Manufacturers, our country barely had, in the middle of last year, 3.3% of the recharging points that there are scattered throughout Europe.
According to the latest ANFAC Electromobility Barometer, the global charging infrastructure indicator in Spain has improved slightly throughout 2021 (+3.5 points). This increase comes, for the most part, from the increase in slow charging points, which have grown to a greater extent than the fast ones.
The public access recharging infrastructure has increased by 709 points in the fourth quarter of 2021. Throughout the year, 4,866 points have been installed, a growth 4 times lower than that necessary to keep pace with market growth. Additionally, this growth occurs at power levels associated with slow charging, with power of at most 22 kW. Only 12% of the public access recharging infrastructure in Spain corresponds to charging with power greater than 22 kW
